SUPERCYCLE AI capital-rotation terminal
PHASE
CYCLEWATCH →

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AI supercycle · 2026 → 2030+

Next rotation
Infrastructure ’26–’27 Power & grid ’28–’30 Physical AI ’30+ Positioning window (9 mo early)

Where the capital is

3 phase baskets, last 12 months + model path

Supercycle model

three dials set every target
at β 1.0 · a name only compounds this while capital is in its phase
how far out you are willing to hold
every buildout had one — see the table
Model — equal weight
If the shakeout hits
BuildoutThesis was right?Drawdown anyway

Rotation lab

is the market already moving to the next phase? measured on real prices, not the thesis
Rotation signal

waiting for basket data…

Leading right now (3 mo)

waiting for basket data…

Relative strength — equal-weight basket returns
1M3M6M12M

The baskets

targets = live price compounded only through the years capital is in that name’s phase · low → high = buying the shakeout, holding to the horizon

The thesis, in three moves

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