CYCLEWATCH personal cycle terminal
BTC
SUPERCYCLE →

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Bitcoin halving cycle · Apr 19 2024 → ~Apr 2028

of days

Where we are
Halving
Apr 19 ’24
Top $126,198
Oct 6 ’25
Bottom window
Sep–Dec ’26
Next halving
~Apr ’28
Markup Euphoria Markdown Accumulation

Bitcoin — this cycle

last 12 months + model path

Cycle model

the two dials that set every target
history: −85 · −84 · −78
history: 17× · 3.5× · 1.8×
Model cycle low
Model next top
Cycle topLow that followedDrawdown

Pattern lab

Trade Travel Chill’s patterns — the mid-week change & 3-drops-then-reversal — tested on 12 months of BTC daily closes
Right now

waiting for chart data…

After 3 straight red days

waiting for chart data…

The mid-week change — how often each day flips direction

Watchlist

targets = live price stretched by each stock’s BTC beta · low → high = buying the model low, selling the model top

The four lenses

YOUR LENS

Jason Pizzino

Everything runs on the 4-year liquidity cycle — bitcoin and stock indices alike. Time in the cycle beats headlines; the bear year is where the next cycle’s positions get built.

On the channel now: “Preparing for the Cycle Low (Watch This Date)” · “Times Are Changing…”

Cycle read: late markdown, low expected inside the late-2026 window. Patience phase.

QUANT CHECK

InvestAnswers

Statistical models and risk-adjusted position sizing — BTC targets, Tesla, and CAGR math instead of vibes. Good for pressure-testing the cycle targets with numbers.

On the channel now: “How to Prepare for the BEAR — Part 1” · “Next 4 Months Will Rewrite the Last 4 Years”

Cycle read: running the bear playbook, watching capitulation signals.

MACRO FEED

Meet Kevin

Fed, rates, housing and tech news flow at high speed. Not a cycle framework — a catalyst feed. Useful for knowing what might shake the chart this week.

On the channel now: “What the Fed JUST Said | GAME CHANGER” · “Wall Street Is NOT Ready for Tomorrow”

Cycle read: trading the macro catalysts inside the bear.

PATTERN LENS

Trade Travel Chill

Crypto trader and educator — market-open TA, the mid-week change, trap moves, and multi-drop reversals. Her two signature patterns run live in the Pattern lab above, tested against real closes.

On the channel now: “Midweek Analysis: Bitcoin Support Break” · “Market Analysis: Bitcoin Bear Market Rally”

Cycle read: treating current strength as a bear-market rally — trade the bounces, don’t trust them.

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